CRB vs São José AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
IPA
0 - 1
CRB
16%
20%
64%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
CRB
2 - 0
PEN
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
SAO
0 - 1
CRB
20%
21%
59%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ASA
1 - 2
CRB
21%
22%
58%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2006 |
CSE
1 - 2
CRB
20%
22%
59%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
São José AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
SAO
0 - 1
CRB
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
ABA
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 2
SAO
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
REM
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
AMA
0 - 1
SAO
59%
20%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |