CRB vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
CRB
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 1
BRA
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 0
CRB
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
GOI
1 - 0
CRB
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CRB
3 - 2
CON
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
REM
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
LON
0 - 0
NAU
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
NAU
3 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAU
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |