CRB vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2006 |
BRA
4 - 1
CRB
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2006 |
CRB
2 - 1
PAY
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 1
CRB
51%
24%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2006 |
CRB
5 - 1
SAO
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CRB
1 - 1
GAM
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 0
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2006 |
REM
0 - 0
NAU
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
49%
24%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 3
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAU
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |