CRB vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
CRB
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CRB
0 - 0
CSA
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 3
CRB
37%
27%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CRB
1 - 2
AVA
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
CRB
17%
26%
57%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 0
LON
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 0
GUA
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRZ
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
COT
1 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
REM
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |