CRB vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
56%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 1
CRB
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 1
PPE
45%
29%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
VAS
4 - 0
CRB
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CRB
2 - 1
NOV
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
CRB
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
5 - 1
OPE
84%
12%
4%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
GRE
16%
27%
57%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
GRE
14%
26%
60%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
PPE
83%
12%
4%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 1
GRE
14%
26%
60%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |