CRB vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 0
CRB
29%
29%
42%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CRB
2 - 1
OPE
51%
28%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRB
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 2
CRB
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CRB
2 - 1
CHA
44%
29%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAH
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 0
BRU
70%
20%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
BAH
21%
29%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |