CRB vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
26.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
CRB
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRB
34%
30%
36%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CRB
0 - 2
CRZ
31%
29%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRB
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CRB
2 - 0
SPO
38%
31%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
BAH
26%
30%
44%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
CHA
40%
30%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
CSA
38%
30%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LON
2 - 1
CHA
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 0
PPE
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |