FA Cup 1/1024
Global 2-1
Cray Wanderers vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
58%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 0
HOR
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CRA
8 - 0
LNH
75%
14%
10%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LNH
1 - 1
CRA
12%
15%
74%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
DUL
2 - 1
CRA
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 3
LEW
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BOG
2 - 1
WIN
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
THA
0 - 4
WIN
16%
19%
65%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 2
POT
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 3
WIN
23%
23%
53%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
3 - 3
FOL
61%
21%
19%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |