Cray Wanderers vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
FOL
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 1
MAI
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AVE
0 - 3
CRA
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
TON
0 - 4
CRA
52%
23%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 0
CAN
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
HAR
1 - 0
WIN
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
WIN
2 - 1
EAS
38%
23%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
WIN
4 - 1
HOR
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
WIN
2 - 1
RED
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
TIL
1 - 2
WIN
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |