Cray Wanderers vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CRA
3 - 1
WRO
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 2
CRA
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ROM
2 - 3
CRA
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 0
CHE
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
WHI
1 - 2
CRA
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
YEL
1 - 0
PHO
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 2
YEL
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
WAL
0 - 3
YEL
13%
21%
66%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
WRO
1 - 2
YEL
20%
23%
58%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
YEL
2 - 0
THA
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |