Cray Wanderers vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
60.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
ENF
20%
20%
59%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
5 - 0
CRA
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 4
MAR
18%
21%
60%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
CRA
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
BOG
10%
17%
73%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
YEL
1 - 3
CAM
15%
24%
61%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 4
YEL
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
YEL
1 - 5
HEY
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
VCD
1 - 2
YEL
65%
19%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
YEL
2 - 0
AVE
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |