Crato vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
69.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 2
LOU
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
CRA
74%
18%
8%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
NAV
14%
18%
68%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +3 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 2
CRA
71%
18%
12%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 1
VIT
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
CHA
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
1 - 0
PEN
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 2
UDL
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UFT
0 - 7
UDL
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
UDL
1 - 0
SER
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |