Crato vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
66.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 1
CRA
78%
14%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 0
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UDL
3 - 1
CRA
82%
13%
4%
|
23 | 58 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 4
CAL
12%
20%
68%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
CRA
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SER
5 - 2
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ADM
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
SER
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |