Crato vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
68.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
CRA
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
CRA
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 1
PEN
28%
23%
50%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 2
ALC
15%
18%
67%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
CRA
81%
14%
6%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
PEN
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAL
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 1
EST
10%
21%
69%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
SER
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
5 - 0
ADM
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |