Crateús vs Trairiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 1
CRA
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
CRA
43%
24%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
PAC
0 - 1
CRA
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
MAR
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 2
FOR
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Trairiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
TRA
33%
24%
44%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
IGU
1 - 1
TRA
37%
24%
40%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 1
NOV
71%
18%
12%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 2
QUI
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
TRA
70%
19%
12%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |