Crateús vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
CRA
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
CRA
33%
26%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 1
CRA
74%
17%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
CEA
9%
17%
75%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
CRA
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
ITA
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 2
ICA
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 2
GUA
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 1
ITA
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |