Crateús vs Iguatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+117%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
NOV
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
CRA
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 0
SAO
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRA
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
4 - 2
CRA
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
IGU
0 - 1
BAR
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
IGU
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 2
IGU
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
IGU
1 - 2
SAO
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
IGU
2 - 2
CRA
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |