Crateús vs Barbalha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
CRA
3 - 2
IGU
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
NOV
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
CRA
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 0
SAO
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRA
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CUI
2 - 0
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAO
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
CUI
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
CRA
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
IGU
0 - 1
BAR
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |