Crateús vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 1
QUI
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 1
PAC
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
CRA
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 1
CRA
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
IGU
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
6 - 0
ARS
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
ARS
0 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PAC
2 - 2
ARS
33%
24%
44%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |