Craigroyston vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
45.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Craigroyston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 4
HAW
46%
21%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
EYE
1 - 2
CRA
13%
17%
70%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
TYN
4 - 2
CRA
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
2 - 3
ORM
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
7 - 1
EYE
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
HER
6 - 0
EYE
92%
6%
2%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
HER
5 - 2
TYN
27%
20%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
KHE
11%
17%
72%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HER
2 - 3
LEI
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -5 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ORM
1 - 3
HER
11%
14%
75%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +2 |