Craigroyston vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
52.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Craigroyston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LEI
7 - 1
CRA
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
PEE
4 - 2
CRA
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 5
PEE
28%
22%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -3 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 1
CRA
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DUN
4 - 3
CRA
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LOT
2 - 2
HER
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
HER
2 - 2
STI
60%
20%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
COL
67%
18%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 3
CIV
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HER
4 - 0
BUR
90%
7%
3%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | -1 |