Craigroyston vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Craigroyston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
TYN
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CRA
6 - 1
STI
15%
20%
65%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +7 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CRA
4 - 0
CIV
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
LOT
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TYN
5 - 0
CRA
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
STI
22%
22%
57%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
SPA
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
HER
3 - 4
TYN
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 0
HER
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HER
3 - 2
CIV
56%
21%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +2 |