CRAC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
64.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CRA
2 - 0
IPO
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 3
CRA
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
GOI
3 - 0
CRA
86%
11%
4%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 3
GOI
8%
18%
73%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 0
ATL
8%
20%
72%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ANA
1 - 1
VIL
15%
23%
62%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
GOI
79%
17%
4%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
PAY
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
PAY
0 - 0
VIL
32%
26%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
BRA
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |