CRAC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
56%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 0
ATL
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
GOI
0 - 1
CRA
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
APA
2 - 0
CRA
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 1
ANA
45%
28%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRA
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GOI
0 - 0
VIL
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
ANA
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
TRI
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
VIL
30%
27%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |