CRAC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
6 - 2
CRA
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 2
GOI
15%
21%
65%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 1
TRI
64%
21%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GOI
3 - 0
CRA
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 0
ANA
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
SPO
26%
26%
49%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
VIL
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
POR
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 1
VIL
38%
26%
37%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 3
GOI
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |