CRAC vs Trindade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GOI
3 - 0
CRA
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 0
ANA
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
CRA
79%
14%
8%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
5 - 2
CRA
68%
19%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ANA
4 - 0
TRI
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 3
ATL
11%
17%
72%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
TRI
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 3
VIL
19%
21%
59%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 2
APA
44%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |