CRAC vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 1
CRA
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FRI
3 - 1
CRA
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
FRI
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
NEC
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 1
CRA
49%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 1
CRA
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIA
1 - 2
MOG
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 2
CIA
59%
23%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MET
1 - 2
MOG
36%
26%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
0 - 1
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |