CRAC MT vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 0
CRA
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
RON
1 - 2
CRA
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 1
URO
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 0
CRA
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRA
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LUV
0 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
RON
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
URO
1 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRA
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |