CRAC MT vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
MGR
1 - 3
CRA
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 1
URO
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2007 |
CEC
1 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEC
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
URO
2 - 2
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |