CRAC MT vs Sorriso EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LUV
4 - 0
CRA
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
TAN
0 - 2
CRA
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 3
SOR
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CRA
4 - 1
MGR
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SIN
1 - 0
CRA
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sorriso EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
LUV
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 3
SOR
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
SOR
3 - 2
SIN
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TAN
0 - 0
SOR
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SOR
0 - 3
OPE
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -2 |