CRAC MT vs Sorriso EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CRA
4 - 1
MGR
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SIN
1 - 0
CRA
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 2
LUV
25%
23%
53%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MIX
2 - 1
CRA
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
MGR
0 - 1
CRA
33%
24%
44%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sorriso EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
SOR
3 - 2
SIN
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TAN
0 - 0
SOR
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SOR
0 - 3
OPE
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
MGR
1 - 0
SOR
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
MIX
27%
25%
49%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |