CRAC MT vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 3
SOR
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LUV
4 - 0
CRA
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
TAN
0 - 2
CRA
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 3
SOR
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CRA
4 - 1
MGR
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MIX
3 - 2
SIN
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LUV
3 - 1
MIX
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
MIX
2 - 3
TAN
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OPE
2 - 2
MIX
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
MIX
4 - 2
MGR
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | +1 |