CRAC MT vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
54%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
0 - 1
MIX
33%
25%
43%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 3
SOR
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LUV
4 - 0
CRA
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
TAN
0 - 2
CRA
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 3
SOR
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
LUV
3 - 0
MIX
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 2
LUV
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LUV
4 - 0
CRA
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
LUV
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LUV
3 - 1
MIX
54%
23%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |