CRAC MT vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
MGR
2 - 0
CRA
36%
24%
41%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 2
RON
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
MIX
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
4 - 1
BAR
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 0
CUI
21%
23%
57%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CUI
2 - 2
VIL
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 2
CUI
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 2
CUI
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CUI
2 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 1
PAY
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |