CRAC MT vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
56.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LUV
3 - 1
CRA
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
URO
1 - 2
CRA
74%
17%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 0
CRA
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
RON
1 - 2
CRA
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MGR
0 - 3
CUI
19%
21%
60%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 1
POR
15%
19%
66%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CUI
2 - 0
LUV
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 0
RON
73%
17%
11%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
URO
2 - 1
CUI
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |