Bangor 1876 vs Penycae FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
79.6%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penycae FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 4
AIR
9%
15%
77%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FLI
6 - 0
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 3
CAE
15%
19%
66%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 5
GUI
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
LLA
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |