CP Rena vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
57.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Rena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
CPR
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CPR
1 - 2
MON
13%
18%
69%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
EMD
5 - 2
CPR
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CPR
1 - 2
GIM
49%
23%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 0
CPR
79%
13%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
UDF
3 - 0
ORE
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SPH
3 - 1
UDF
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
UDF
2 - 2
UCL
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 4
UDF
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
UDF
1 - 1
OLY
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |