Flecha Negra U19 vs Academia Extremadura U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
3º
10º
3º
49
6º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 83 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
2.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
89.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flecha Negra U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DIO
5 - 3
FLE
62%
18%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
4 - 1
CSU
40%
22%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UPP
1 - 0
FLE
67%
17%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
1 - 3
CDB
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LCV
2 - 3
FLE
43%
21%
36%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Academia Extremadura U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CPA
4 - 1
EFE
52%
20%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 1
CPA
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CPA
4 - 2
COR
71%
16%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CPA
4 - 0
UPC
65%
18%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DIO
4 - 1
CPA
56%
21%
23%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |