Cowdenbeath vs Vale of Leithen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 0
CWB
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CWB
4 - 4
RAI
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CWB
0 - 1
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 1
CWB
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CWB
1 - 1
FAL
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vale of Leithen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
STI
1 - 1
VAL
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
5 - 1
SEL
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SEL
1 - 1
VAL
41%
21%
38%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
SPA
23%
21%
56%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
3 - 3
VAL
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |