Cowdenbeath vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FAL
2 - 0
CWB
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
CWB
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CWB
1 - 1
AIR
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CWB
0 - 1
DUM
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CWB
8 - 1
VAL
77%
15%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
STJ
2 - 2
HOM
41%
29%
31%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
STM
1 - 1
STJ
47%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
STJ
0 - 1
HIB
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
KIL
1 - 2
STJ
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
STJ
1 - 1
ROS
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |