Cowdenbeath vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
72.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 0
CWB
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
ELG
3 - 2
CWB
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 0
CWB
50%
23%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CWB
2 - 1
ALB
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CWB
1 - 1
EDI
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HOM
1 - 0
ICT
50%
24%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
HOM
2 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
STM
1 - 0
HOM
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
HOM
1 - 1
MHE
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
HIB
1 - 3
HOM
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |