Cowdenbeath vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
70%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
CWB
2 - 0
EAS
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
RAI
2 - 1
CWB
75%
17%
9%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
AIR
3 - 0
CWB
66%
21%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
CWB
2 - 1
CLY
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BLA
3 - 2
CWB
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
HOM
1 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
HOM
1 - 1
ICT
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 1
HOM
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
SHE
0 - 7
HOM
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
ARB
2 - 0
HOM
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |