Cowdenbeath vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
34%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1926 |
CEL
2 - 0
CWB
67%
17%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1926 |
CWB
0 - 0
ABE
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
DUN
4 - 3
CWB
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
CWB
3 - 1
PAR
63%
17%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
CWB
1 - 0
AIR
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1926 |
HOM
4 - 1
QUE
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1926 |
DUN
4 - 1
HOM
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
PAR
1 - 4
HOM
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
CLY
1 - 5
HOM
28%
24%
49%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
HOM
5 - 1
RAI
73%
17%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |