Cowdenbeath vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 3
CWB
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CWB
2 - 3
DUM
48%
23%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
CWB
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
RAI
0 - 1
CWB
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
CWB
2 - 2
LIV
35%
25%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
ALL
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
ALL
3 - 0
DUN
52%
22%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
DUN
6 - 1
FOR
56%
21%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
DUN
39%
23%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 2
AIR
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |