Cowdenbeath vs Ayr United analysis

Cowdenbeath Ayr United
48 ELO 53
8.1% Tilt 20.1%
5720º General ELO ranking 801º
65º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
33%
Cowdenbeath
24.4%
Draw
42.6%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.6%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cowdenbeath
-1%
-5%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Cowdenbeath
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2016
PET
Peterhead
0 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
69%
19%
12%
46 63 17 0
19 Mar. 2016
CWB
Cowdenbeath
0 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
18%
23%
59%
46 64 18 0
12 Mar. 2016
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
57%
21%
22%
46 50 4 0
05 Mar. 2016
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 3
Airdrieonians
AIR
33%
25%
42%
47 53 6 -1
01 Mar. 2016
AYR
Ayr United
4 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
61%
20%
18%
48 55 7 -1

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2016
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 1
Stranraer
STR
49%
25%
27%
53 55 2 0
19 Mar. 2016
FOR
Forfar Athletic
3 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
39%
26%
35%
54 50 4 -1
12 Mar. 2016
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
32%
26%
43%
55 63 8 -1
08 Mar. 2016
AYR
Ayr United
4 - 1
Stenhousemuir
STE
67%
19%
14%
54 47 7 +1
05 Mar. 2016
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
33%
25%
42%
55 47 8 -1