Cowdenbeath vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1957 |
CWB
1 - 1
BRE
55%
19%
26%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1957 |
DUN
1 - 1
CWB
74%
14%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1956 |
PAR
2 - 1
CWB
81%
11%
8%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1956 |
CWB
1 - 2
PAR
35%
22%
43%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
GRE
0 - 1
CWB
82%
11%
8%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1957 |
AYR
4 - 1
DUN
60%
19%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1957 |
BRE
5 - 2
AYR
54%
18%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1957 |
PAR
5 - 1
AYR
70%
16%
14%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1957 |
AYR
4 - 4
QUE
59%
21%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
EAS
2 - 2
AYR
69%
17%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |