Cowdenbeath vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
ROS
4 - 0
CWB
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
ALB
4 - 0
CWB
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
CWB
0 - 1
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
CWB
1 - 4
QUE
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
ALL
1 - 0
CWB
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
ARB
3 - 3
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
ARB
1 - 2
THE
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1997 |
THE
0 - 0
ARB
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
ALL
0 - 2
ARB
68%
20%
13%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 1997 |
ARB
1 - 2
ALB
51%
26%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |