Cowdenbeath vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
QUE
1 - 0
CWB
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
CWB
2 - 0
ALL
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
MON
0 - 2
CWB
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
CWB
3 - 4
ICT
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
CWB
1 - 0
THE
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
ARB
1 - 2
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
ALB
1 - 0
ARB
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
ARB
0 - 2
ALL
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
ROS
2 - 0
ARB
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
ARB
1 - 0
QUE
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |