Cowdenbeath vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1946 |
DUN
2 - 0
CWB
51%
20%
29%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1934 |
CWB
6 - 0
STM
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 1934 |
CWB
1 - 3
AIR
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1934 |
MHE
6 - 1
CWB
86%
9%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1934 |
PAR
5 - 3
CWB
82%
11%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1946 |
ARB
4 - 1
DUM
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1939 |
ARB
4 - 0
PAR
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
ARB
3 - 0
AYR
41%
22%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
CEL
2 - 0
ARB
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
ARB
2 - 1
STM
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |