CD Covadonga vs UD Llanera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
12º
1º
56
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
COV
1 - 2
TUI
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 3
COV
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
COV
3 - 1
RTI
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CON
0 - 3
COV
14%
21%
66%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
COV
1 - 1
CAU
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD Llanera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 2
UDL
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 2
SPB
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 1
UDL
8%
18%
73%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 0
VAL
91%
7%
2%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
UDL
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |